Thursday, February 23, 2012

曾鈺成應參與特首選舉嗎?


文章見報之日,這問題可能已有答案。但無論結果如何,這問題也是值得探討的。首先必須言明,這裏要討論的並非曾鈺成個人之誠信、能力或理念,更非他在這小圈子選舉中可得多少選票或他的參選是否得到中央祝福。這裏要研究的是假若曾鈺成當真宣布參與特首選舉的話,他所代表的對特區特首選舉制度可能產生的影響和寓意。

小圈子選舉便是小圈子選舉。毋庸置疑,很多人認為這選舉制度一無是處。問題是在這失衡之制度下,相對而言,哪種人參選比較對下屆特區管治有幫助?回歸以來,我們見證了商人治港、公務員治港,成績如何,有目共睹,不需詳言。餘下的,只有專業人士治港或從政者治港兩種選擇。那麼一位教師出身,轉而從政之人又有何不可?最少他經過了民主選舉歷練多年,對議會文化、行政立法關係有一定的了解和體驗,對將來施政有誰敢說不無幫助?從民生角度而言,當了這麼多年的直選議員,或多或少對民間疾苦、貧富懸殊等問題,始終比忽然民生的人來得比較清楚扎實。

曾鈺成是民建聯的創黨黨員,也是前主席。若他當了特首,對民建聯發展而言當然是恍如打了一口強心針。對民主派也肯定是不利的。但從另一角度來看,一位政黨出身的從政者,應當了解政黨政治的重要性,而政黨政治正是民主政治必經之途。曾鈺成過往給人的印象是比較穩重、公正。由他來主導發展政黨政治總比對政黨一無所知的人來得合適和更具說服力。

政黨背景成最大障礙

但要得到港人支持,曾鈺成最大的障礙當然是他是否共產黨黨員及他對六四之看法。先談共產黨黨員一事。過去他競選立法會主席時對這問題一再迴避,對很多人來說,答案是甚麼已是呼之欲出。但是共產黨黨員又如何?難道比之於董建華、曾蔭權等對北京之唯命是從,情況會更差嗎?共產黨黨員與否也須對特區市民問責。若他的能力得到多數港人的支持又有何不可?當然,現時本地法律要求曾鈺成必須退黨,這也凸顯了為何民主派堅持現有特首不能有政黨背景之法律限制必須刪改的主要原因。假若他能遵守法律要求而退出共產黨的話,港人是否願意給他一個機會?

至於六四,試問除了何俊仁之外,有哪一位特首、哪一位現有之特首參選人或疑似參選人,對港人來說有比較滿意的回應?最少曾鈺成在八九年時也曾與百萬人上街,與一眾港人站在爭取民主改革的一邊。就是這點,他已比一眾特首及其他參選人或有意問鼎之士立場來得清晰。要知道香港人希望得到的是對六四之看法,而非閃爍其詞之曖昧立場。曾鈺成若能表明心迹,當然最好;但若未能盡如人意,也不會比其他人為差。

以上所說的負面背景可能是小圈子選舉下能真正問鼎特首寶座的人之共同必具條件。這些條件可能必須有待普選來臨才可突破。

在二○一七年之前比較現實之看法,是我們至少希望有一場真正競爭的政治理念和政綱比併。只要不抱過高期望,在不滿中也可能得到一個比較可接受之結果。

15 comments:

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

did it not occur to you from the PRC's perspective, the communist party is not a political party. In china, even when the Chinese communist party exercise its supervisory power over the judges, it is not considered political interference. If that reasoning applies, even though Tsang is a member of the communist party that doesn't stop him from running as a candidate. Since there is no political party law in H K, even the Civic Party is and can only be registered as a limited liability company. ponder over this, my senior counsel friend.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

On March 25th if there is a collapse of the election which means the top candidate does not get 601 votes, the election will be ended. There will be another election with different candidates or the same candidates can stand for election again. In that scenarios, Tsang will come out to run. This is a decision made not by Tsang but the Chinese Communist Party in Beijing.

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