Thursday, July 12, 2012

民不穩 政不變

蘇軾在《晁錯論》中有這樣的一句開場白:「天下之患最不可為者,名為治平無事,而其實有不測之憂。 坐觀其變而不為之所,則恐至於不可救。起而強為之,則天下狃於治平之安,而不吾信。」這似乎道出了梁振英先生正面對的難題。他的競選口號是「穩中求變」, 意思大概是在穩定的社會中尋求改變。那麼特區現在是否可說是真的平穩無事?梁特首上場所求之變又是否只局限於架構改組,而非治港之變?要變的話,又是何 時、如何的變?
盼施政重心變非重組架構
從某角度而言,回歸十五年除了有個別時段之經濟起落外,可說是「治平無事」;但也可說 是風雲暗湧。○三年「七. 一」五十萬人上街,逼使中央換了一位特首。今年「七. 一」四十萬人上街,意味着甚麼?梁特首可能會說這是前朝留下的怨憤,但四十萬人怒吼要他上任當日下台,他卻硬把責任推往上手,似乎有點牽強。
第 二天,那新上台的梁班子如何回應四十萬人之怒吼?梁班子的回應是落區「諮詢」市民。這裏有幾點奇怪之處:一)、到社區見一百幾十人,談一些漫無目的的議 題,算是回應了四十萬人的訴求?二)、這幾十萬人的訴求,其實也是立法會過去多年來一直爭取的訴求。立法會既為全港市民的代表,要回應這些訴求,為何不到 立法會回應,而要捨近求遠、棄多好少?三)、落區聽聽意見便算是切實回應了幾十萬人逼切之訴求,便是最擁護梁班子之堅實支持者,也難以立信。
就 算是不求穩,只求變,也要變得有道理。架構重組只是框架上的改變,而市民逼切期望的,是管治素質的改變、是施政重心的改變;那麼現在真實的改變在哪裏?市 民首先見到的似乎是行政立法關係陷於崩潰邊緣,無藥可救。這樣的變,不要也罷!行政立法關係弄得如此僵持不下,當然是一貫長官意志的嘴臉、缺乏圓滑妥協之 器量所帶來的必然後果。若說是因為一些實質利民之政策而須與立法會鬧翻,也可能比較勉強說得過去。但只為了架構重組?在很多人眼中,這只是毫無政治智慧之 表現!
未來五年政治料只有更壞
可能最令人愕然的是一堆甚麼「香港營」、甚麼「大和解」、甚麼「用人唯才」之動人說辭後,大家 見到的卻是比曾蔭權更親疏有別、比董建華更用人唯親的政治分贓。只需看看精心組合的管治班子,大致上可歸納為三類人:一)、前朝不受歡迎之高官;二)、選 舉期間之親信;三)、左派陣營中最保守之代表。便是稍有名望的林鄭月娥和林煥光也為了要左右撲火而弄得應接不暇,雙林之公信力亦因此而大大削弱。這算是變 好,還是變壞?
在如斯惡劣的情況下,要提出一些建設性的建議也不知從何說起。修補行政立法關係可能是最逼切的第一步;與各黨派,包括民主陣 營,作出真誠和有意義之交流可能是必須之第二步。但要做到這兩點,放眼梁營眾多人物中,橫看豎看也看不出有甚麼人可以勝此重任!這也是梁振英管治政策不變 之致命傷。往後五年可能是特區政治上最不穩定的時刻;沒有最壞,只有更壞。各從政者均需好自為之!

33 comments:

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

what is absurd to me is that after CY Leung got elected, he has to go to district to talk to the people. In a place where democratic election takes place, the talking precedes the election and not follows the election. This situation is what is called Electoral process with Hong Kong characteristics. Ridiculous.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

CY Leung's top administration is in crisis with one secretary resigns and facing criminal charges. The morale is critically affected for this highly unpopular government in Hong Kong.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

It wouldn't surprise the world that soon CY Leung has to step down because of foot problem. CH Tung complimented that CY Leung would be a good chief executive. What credibility does CH Tung have in saying that. It is not just the blind leading the blind, it is one blind saying how pretty the other blind is. Not disrespect to visually challenged individuals.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

The world's watching the SCMP self-censorship incident closely. This kind of news reinforces the outside world's perception that freedom of speech is being undermined. Another area of concern is national education as a form of brain washing for H K pupils. Many of the parents who can afford will send their teenagers overseas for education to avoid the brain washing. I would.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

Ronny, you are the last line of defense to resist government's attempt to brain wash H K students by introducing national education. Ask not what your party can do for you, ask yourself not to betray your conscience.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

I am supporting Dennis Kwok to replace Margaret Ng.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

I guess you are facing a tough re-election crowd at the Legco September election. Margaret Ng is right. Civil party folks like you need to give up your barristerial arrogance and go down to the grass root to get some votes. Not easy.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

The reason why H K parents and educators detest the introduction of patriotic (national) education is that they distrust or dislike the Beijing inteference with H K's independent design of the educational curriculum.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

Ching Cheung and Willy Lam respectively wrote that H K under CY Leung is undergoing Mainlandization. Do you agree?

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

Can we count on the Civic Party to resist the forces of mainlandization of Hong Kong?

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

The civic party candidates should be able to gain some votes using the patriotic education saga. The pro-Beijing parties are losing brownie points when they upset the parents and the middle class voters. Make good use of this trump card to recover some lost grounds. Good luck to you and your fellow Civic Party buddies.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

I kike the civic party's slogan: no reddening of Hong Kong. Soldier on, Ronny.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

How come I am the only one responding to your blog? You have no fans?

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

say no to a red hong kong. I like that slogan. I have been screaming no all the time.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

Next time when you walk pass a government building, including the court house or the Legco building where you are making a living, look up. There is a Five Star flag and no longer the Union Jack. STUPID.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

Your failure to disclose your overseas holding companies is more than a technique oversight. It goes to your integrity and gives rise to the suggestion that you have been deliberately withholding information from the public. I think you are going to lose in your September election.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

I may come back to H K towards the end of August to lend you a hand in campaigning. Wait for me.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

I returned to the US after a brief visit to H K. I visited your law offices but you were away, campaigning hard. Good luck to you.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

Have you got re-elected? The movement resisting patriotic education should help you win some votes. Did it? I saw your picture crying. How come? When you were scolded by the teachers at QC, such as So Fai-cho, you did not cry. Why now?

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

Have you got re-elected? The movement resisting patriotic education should help you win some votes. Did it? I saw your picture crying. How come? When you were scolded by the teachers at QC, such as So Fai-cho, you did not cry. Why now?

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

I heard you got re-elected. Congratulations.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

i am glad that Dennis Kwok got elected too.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

The Civic Party won six seats. Not too bad,considering how weak you are in comparision to the pro-Beijing parties.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

what are you planning to do at the Legco for the coming years? Please let us know. Resisting reddening of H K like your learned brother Leong Ka-kit? Or throwing bananas at the government official like Wong Yuk-man.

Frankie Fook-lun Leung said...

Now you got re-elected, do you have time to write in this blog?

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